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Implications of UK-EU trade deal for investors

Updated: Jan 6, 2021

The UK and the EU agreed a post-Brexit trade deal at the eleventh hour. As many economists and investors had anticipated, a ‘no deal’ may well have been significantly detrimental to both sides. So, no matter how ‘light’ it feels, we have a deal, nonetheless.

Even though for many the deal only covers the bare minimum, a deal will be good news for investors in UK equities and, coupled with the cautious optimism around the Covid-19 vaccine rollout, we have already seen this translate to markets. Since the first signal of a deal was announced, the FTSE 100 is up 2.4%*

Companies relying on domestic economic activities should benefit the most. We are also more likely to see Sterling appreciate somewhat, which in turn should make global investors view the UK market as investable without having the ‘Deal / No-Deal’ conversation looming over us. So, a deal is undoubtedly good news for investors in the UK, but the focus in the short term will return to how we navigate the Covid-19 pandemic.

Longer-term, we still need more clarity on the implication of this new relationship with the EU, for example for financial services and air travel, but this deal gives us a degree of additional certainty that the valuation of UK equities will begin to close in on their discount.

For clients who are invested in Omnis Investments’ funds through either the Omnis Model Portfolio Service or the Openwork Graphene Portfolios, this is undoubtedly good news given that portfolios have a high weighting towards UK Equities at a strategic level. Furthermore, within the Omnis Model Portfolio Service, where we are able to tactically amend the asset allocation, we currently have an overweight exposure to UK equities.

Rohit Vaswani, Client Portfolio Manager

*SOURCE: Bloomberg, from 2st December 2020 to 4th January 2021

Issued by Omnis Investments Limited. This update reflects Omnis’ view at the time of writing and is subject to change. The document is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice. We recommend you discuss any investment decisions with your Openwork financial adviser. Omnis is unable to provide investment advice. Every effort is made to ensure the accuracy of the information but no assurance or warranties are given. The value of an investment and any income derived from it can fall as well as rise and you may not get back the original amount invested. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.

The Omnis Managed Investments ICVC and the Omnis Portfolio Investments ICVC are authorised Investment Companies with Variable Capital. The authorised corporate director of the Omnis Managed Investments ICVC and the Omnis Portfolio Investments ICVC is Omnis Investments Limited (Registered Address: Washington House, Lydiard Fields, Swindon, SN5 8UB) which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.


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